PolyBot

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Traders

Phomaiar

0x8b696fdf452bfc7bed211d94f2824e403594d36f

Realised P&L
$540.64
Volume
$26.0k
Markets traded
75
Open portfolio
$143.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded75
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration74.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 10, 2026? · Yes0.4300.445$89.00+$3.00
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in December? · No0.5900.445$31.15−$10.15
Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.3180.270$23.48−$4.19
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 3? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$3.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 23? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00−$63.47
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? · No0.9720.000$0.00−$221.00
Gemini 4.0 released by September 15, 2026? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$1.31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 27? · Yes0.4870.000$0.00−$50.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 19? · Yes0.6580.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 23:49Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 10, 2026?BUY0.43$86.00
09-04 16:19Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?SELL0.84$58.80
09-04 10:32Gemini 4.0 released by September 15, 2026?BUY0.14$1.31
09-03 11:48Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.59$53.10
09-03 11:23Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in December?BUY0.59$41.30
09-03 10:34Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?SELL0.86$51.58
05-13 17:49Will Manel Kape become UFC champion in 2026?SELL0.7$7.00
05-13 17:44Will Manel Kape become UFC champion in 2026?BUY0.7965152458$80.00
05-06 18:15Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?SELL0.201$7.63
04-29 22:18Will Freddie Mac’s market cap be between $150B and $200B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.55966046$13.00
04-29 17:08Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0014 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.95$27.54
04-13 20:25Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL0.992$143.20
04-12 19:39Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.9895843537$142.85
04-05 20:01US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?BUY0.972$221.00
04-05 19:59Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 6?BUY0.8299999978$29.27