rareboost14
0x8b63c754bd5f2cac5b2b37c84c908b15392baa97
- Realised P&L
- $-718.34
- Volume
- $80.1k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $102.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.395 | $102.70 | +$1.30 |
| Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale? · Yes | 0.065 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$37.00 |
| Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale? · No | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.95 |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$44.24 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Kansas City Royals · Kansas City Royals | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.155 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$31.00 |
| Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale? · Yes | 0.174 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$154.50 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$329.80at 0.660Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?
- +$185.00at 0.220Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?
- +$163.80at 0.415Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
- +$125.70at 0.448Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?
- +$124.00at 0.230Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 08:12 | LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.21 | $44.24 |
| 09-09 14:42 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.36 | $138.40 |
| 09-09 14:31 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2601143535 | $100.00 |
| 09-09 14:23 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.3 | $120.00 |
| 09-09 14:19 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.25 | $100.00 |
| 09-01 21:38 | Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins | BUY | 0.5199999979 | $30.00 |
| 09-01 21:37 | Miami Marlins vs. Kansas City Royals | BUY | 0.5099999994 | $60.00 |
| 07-17 16:46 | Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale? | BUY | 0.1606896397 | $50.00 |
| 07-17 16:45 | Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale? | BUY | 0.1499999955 | $25.00 |
| 07-17 16:44 | Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale? | BUY | 0.144 | $14.40 |
| 07-17 16:05 | Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale? | BUY | 0.0301119399 | $5.00 |
| 06-03 09:53 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $10.00 |
| 05-23 23:07 | Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven | SELL | 0.67 | $279.16 |
| 05-23 23:03 | Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven | BUY | 0.2399999986 | $100.00 |
| 05-23 23:02 | Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven | SELL | 0.197083 | $78.83 |