PolyBot

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Traders

Osvdvoland

0x8b5cb034338810316ea455069d36296bbc15097b

Realised P&L
$-15.44
Volume
$6.3k
Markets traded
51
Open portfolio
$39.15

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded51
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample48 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · No0.5400.640$23.70+$3.70
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? · No0.2900.320$11.03+$1.03
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.3400.300$4.41−$0.59
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · No0.2900.000$0.00−$5.00
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? · No0.2910.000$0.00−$20.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.1900.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Israel election happen as scheduled? · No0.0790.000$0.00−$5.00
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$5.00
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-22 17:08US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?SELL0.49$21.78
10-16 15:49Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.5399999881$20.00
10-15 22:03Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?BUY0.2631578947$10.00
10-15 22:02Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?BUY0.25$5.00
10-15 20:03Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026?BUY0.339999985$5.00
10-15 20:02US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?BUY0.4499999944$20.00
10-15 19:59Will Israel election happen as scheduled?BUY0.0789999991$5.00
10-15 19:58Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?BUY0.2899999968$10.00
10-15 19:54Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1$5.00
10-15 19:51Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?BUY0.4699999944$5.00
10-15 19:50Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.1899999998$10.00
10-12 20:56US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?SELL0.05$1.79
10-12 20:56Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.85$27.86
10-12 20:54Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.3$13.63
08-03 04:34US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.289999964$5.00