thrillerrrr
0x8b4caeeaf0161e91b2ba9b6997a57262063f552d
- Realised P&L
- $-34.09
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 298
- Open portfolio
- $11.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded298
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.10at 0.146Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?
- +$4.96at 0.351Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on August 29?
- +$3.86at 0.164Counter-Strike: Astralis vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs
- +$3.21at 0.215Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?
- +$3.15at 0.248Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 20:40 | Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 20:40 | Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 09:10 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.7189999573 | $3.00 |
| 10-05 16:32 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $3.31 |
| 10-05 16:31 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.065 | $0.73 |
| 10-05 05:16 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.0889999925 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 05:16 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999844 | $3.00 |
| 10-01 09:43 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 09:43 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999667 | $3.50 |
| 09-22 15:22 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $0.90 |
| 09-21 09:49 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $1.35 |
| 09-21 09:49 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999622 | $1.25 |
| 09-21 09:42 | Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.5409999844 | $2.25 |
| 09-21 09:42 | Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2389999668 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 07:27 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |