wgfdffsfc
0x8b4aae8cc980b70d463462ecf35dac8af9f8456e
- Realised P&L
- $-131.14
- Volume
- $13.7k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $522.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No | 0.962 | 0.979 | $263.21 | +$4.44 |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 10 above $0.50? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.508 | $187.45 | −$181.18 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? · No | 0.989 | 0.991 | $55.47 | +$0.08 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 10 above $30? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.900 | $4.50 | −$0.45 |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 10 above $6.00? · No | 0.990 | 0.900 | $4.50 | −$0.45 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 10 above $120? · No | 0.990 | 0.900 | $4.50 | −$0.45 |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 10 above $1.50? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.510 | $2.55 | −$2.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.89at 0.961Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
- +$6.00at 0.930US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
- +$3.00at 0.984US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 14, 2026?
- +$2.40at 0.940Will Ethena reach $0.20 in June?
- +$2.27at 0.978SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 08:26 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 10 above $0.50? | BUY | 0.999 | $368.63 |
| 08-09 07:22 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 10 above $6.00? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-09 07:21 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 10 above $1.50? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-09 07:21 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 10 above $120? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-09 07:21 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 10 above $30? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-04 10:05 | Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.50 on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $115.75 |
| 08-04 10:04 | Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $284.71 |
| 07-21 09:42 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $7.50 in July? | BUY | 0.987 | $135.22 |
| 07-21 09:41 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.60 in July? | BUY | 0.991 | $125.86 |
| 07-15 01:46 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $45 Week of July 13 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 07-15 01:42 | Will XRP reach $1.80 July 13-19? | BUY | 0.999 | $155.84 |
| 07-14 05:44 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.984 | $246.00 |
| 07-05 06:20 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $114.89 |
| 07-05 06:20 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $30-$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10? | BUY | 0.9987084512 | $161.00 |
| 07-05 06:20 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |