wgfdffsfc
0x8b4aae8cc980b70d463462ecf35dac8af9f8456e
- Realised P&L
- $69.17
- Volume
- $17.1k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $707.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · No | 0.998 | 0.995 | $324.11 | −$0.89 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 5 above $10? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.900 | $282.60 | −$31.09 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? · No | 0.959 | 0.955 | $95.45 | −$0.45 |
| Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No | 0.999 | 0.995 | $4.97 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.22at 0.962Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
- +$6.92at 0.961Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
- +$6.00at 0.930US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
- +$3.69at 0.986Trump out as President by September 30?
- +$3.00at 0.984US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 14, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 10:48 | Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.9977366495 | $325.00 |
| 10-08 10:47 | Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 10:39 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 5 above $10? | BUY | 0.999 | $313.69 |
| 09-21 05:38 | Will Solana reach $190 in September? | BUY | 0.994 | $207.75 |
| 09-13 06:44 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 14 – Sep 18? | BUY | 0.997 | $49.85 |
| 09-13 06:44 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of September 14 above $6.00? | BUY | 0.999 | $155.84 |
| 09-07 07:33 | Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $200.40 |
| 09-05 00:09 | Will Solana reach $160 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $199.80 |
| 09-05 00:07 | Trump out as President by September 30? | BUY | 0.985 | $252.16 |
| 09-01 06:46 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 31 above $6.50? | BUY | 0.9987780491 | $450.00 |
| 08-22 05:30 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $140 end of August? | BUY | 0.9943672129 | $149.88 |
| 08-22 05:28 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in August? | BUY | 0.989 | $39.56 |
| 08-22 05:28 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in August? | BUY | 0.989 | $39.56 |
| 08-22 05:28 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in August? | BUY | 0.989 | $39.56 |
| 08-22 05:28 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in August? | BUY | 0.985 | $39.40 |