Elonmushtaq
0x8b43bde53a3c180d3f29a8f5c06f62cc21f8e077
- Realised P&L
- $-12.57
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $6.42
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.012 | $6.42 | +$0.43 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 18? · Up | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-5.32at 0.096Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 16:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 18? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.00 |
| 06-18 15:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 06-18 15:49 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.004 | $5.00 |
| 06-18 15:48 | Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | BUY | 0.0112061921 | $6.00 |