0xMicmac
0x8b3e514ec81908c1f4ca4bef902449ecdadebbb1
- Realised P&L
- $8.53
- Volume
- $7.7k
- Markets traded
- 140
- Open portfolio
- $2.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded140
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.09at 0.130Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$52.94at 0.361Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 21?
- +$33.03at 0.377Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?
- +$29.41at 0.340Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?
- +$27.49at 0.254Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 15:46 | Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? | BUY | 0.6699999163 | $2.00 |
| 10-16 15:45 | Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 15:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 16? | SELL | 0.9 | $3.10 |
| 10-16 15:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 16? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $2.00 |
| 10-15 03:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 02:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 15? | BUY | 0.7969997741 | $2.00 |
| 10-14 19:36 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14? | SELL | 0.89 | $6.35 |
| 10-14 19:05 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 17:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $2.00 |
| 10-11 12:15 | US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 11:57 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 10:10 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999145 | $2.00 |
| 10-10 03:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 10? | SELL | 0.976 | $3.44 |
| 10-09 14:32 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.955 | $2.17 |
| 10-09 05:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 10? | BUY | 0.8499999433 | $3.00 |