0x8b3766A8b4fd241bF8942f0Da781e2FCA65998Bc-1776915089748
0x8b3766a8b4fd241bf8942f0da781e2fca65998bc
- Realised P&L
- $-14.50
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $6.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026? · Yes | 0.259 | 0.170 | $6.57 | −$3.43 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 15? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.99at 0.100XRP Up or Down - May 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
- +$7.70at 0.565Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?
- +$5.05at 0.300Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on May 10?
- +$3.57at 0.550Another confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?
- +$3.20at 0.360Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 14:25 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 15? | BUY | 0.8899999919 | $3.29 |
| 06-15 14:23 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 15? | BUY | 0.6699998437 | $3.00 |
| 06-12 16:20 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on June 13? | BUY | 0.7099999871 | $3.86 |
| 06-12 16:20 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 13? | BUY | 0.6299999764 | $4.00 |
| 06-12 16:19 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? | BUY | 0.7199999673 | $4.40 |
| 06-11 12:17 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 11? | BUY | 0.7099999671 | $5.61 |
| 06-11 12:17 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 11? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.00 |
| 06-11 12:13 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 11? | BUY | 0.7636363567 | $6.00 |
| 06-10 14:23 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 10? | BUY | 0.811442621 | $4.60 |
| 06-10 14:22 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 10? | BUY | 0.9089999815 | $3.00 |
| 06-10 14:22 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 10? | BUY | 0.6599997844 | $3.00 |
| 06-09 17:30 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 75°F or below on June 10? | BUY | 0.7799999737 | $5.33 |
| 06-09 17:12 | Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $9.51 |
| 06-08 15:36 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 8? | BUY | 0.88 | $2.42 |
| 06-08 15:35 | Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8? | BUY | 0.7299999416 | $3.00 |