testingtesttt
0x8b32d507bdd84aa279d84e3f902726ce69d69d1a
- Realised P&L
- $1.6k
- Volume
- $70.6k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $154.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Modi out by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.021 | $154.90 | −$322.73 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.652Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
- +$462.79at 0.710Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
- +$454.62at 0.479Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?
- +$0.30at 0.997Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 7?
- +$0.00at 0.550Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 01:11 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.3743833466 | $100.00 |
| 10-16 01:08 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.5877579799 | $120.00 |
| 10-16 01:03 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.1 | $250.00 |
| 10-16 01:01 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 10:23 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0632130483 | $477.63 |
| 11-13 16:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on November 13? | SELL | 0.0092 | $4.60 |
| 11-13 16:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on November 13? | SELL | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 11-13 16:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on November 13? | SELL | 0.05 | $49.72 |
| 11-07 16:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 7? | BUY | 0.996999997 | $100.00 |
| 10-30 13:00 | Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | SELL | 0.99 | $3.3k |
| 10-30 12:57 | Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | SELL | 0.0204908459 | $51.23 |
| 10-30 12:30 | Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | BUY | 0.67 | $140.70 |
| 10-29 21:13 | Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.01 |
| 10-29 01:10 | Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | SELL | 0.851 | $2.2k |
| 10-29 01:09 | Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | SELL | 0.8522468563 | $1.7k |