0x8b302ba6e00c11be84428eb7f8503747d99e40aa
- Realised P&L
- $-47.56
- Volume
- $8.5k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $3.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Human moon landing in 2026? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.015 | $3.91 | −$16.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.03at 0.577Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
- +$21.88at 0.570Bitcoin Up or Down on January 26?
- +$17.74at 0.530Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
- +$12.25at 0.760US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$12.06at 0.300Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-03 18:51 | Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 5? | BUY | 0.289999964 | $5.00 |
| 03-13 10:40 | Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0109307648 | $11.71 |
| 03-01 11:16 | Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0279999991 | $30.00 |
| 02-02 22:04 | Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? | BUY | 0.3499999842 | $10.00 |
| 02-02 22:03 | Human moon landing in 2026? | BUY | 0.0742055888 | $20.00 |
| 02-02 22:03 | Human moon landing in 2026? | SELL | 0.928 | $20.08 |
| 02-02 12:51 | Human moon landing in 2026? | BUY | 0.9239999994 | $20.00 |
| 02-01 23:49 | Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | BUY | 0.5299999883 | $20.00 |
| 01-31 17:12 | US government shutdown Saturday? | SELL | 0.996 | $65.55 |
| 01-31 09:11 | AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0371793026 | $53.72 |
| 01-30 17:21 | US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $17.28 |
| 01-30 17:21 | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $17.78 |
| 01-30 01:02 | Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.957999955 | $21.00 |
| 01-30 01:01 | Internet access restored in Iran by Friday? | SELL | 0.962 | $21.14 |
| 01-30 00:59 | Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9589773671 | $25.00 |