PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x8b302ba6e00c11be84428eb7f8503747d99e40aa

Realised P&L
$-47.56
Volume
$8.5k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$3.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Human moon landing in 2026? · Yes0.0740.015$3.91$16.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-03 18:51Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 5?BUY0.289999964$5.00
03-13 10:40Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?SELL0.0109307648$11.71
03-01 11:16Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.0279999991$30.00
02-02 22:04Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?BUY0.3499999842$10.00
02-02 22:03Human moon landing in 2026?BUY0.0742055888$20.00
02-02 22:03Human moon landing in 2026?SELL0.928$20.08
02-02 12:51Human moon landing in 2026?BUY0.9239999994$20.00
02-01 23:49Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?BUY0.5299999883$20.00
01-31 17:12US government shutdown Saturday?SELL0.996$65.55
01-31 09:11AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?SELL0.0371793026$53.72
01-30 17:21US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?SELL0.57$17.28
01-30 17:21US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?SELL0.32$17.78
01-30 01:02Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026?BUY0.957999955$21.00
01-30 01:01Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?SELL0.962$21.14
01-30 00:59Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026?BUY0.9589773671$25.00