fgeko
0x8b2fdba11ab87203c3d26308c15792e9a9736c35
- Realised P&L
- $-78.60
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $236.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · Yes | 0.176 | 0.130 | $236.40 | −$84.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.07at 0.465Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-06?
- +$1.62at 0.939Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league?
- +$0.75at 0.520Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- +$-3.02at 0.922Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-10 08:01 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.1762224838 | $320.46 |
| 04-21 12:59 | Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30? | SELL | 0.8972927826 | $107.54 |
| 04-08 12:53 | Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30? | BUY | 0.9265876283 | $70.29 |
| 04-06 16:49 | Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30? | BUY | 0.925 | $6.48 |
| 04-06 16:48 | Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-06? | BUY | 0.39 | $3.76 |
| 04-06 16:45 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.57 | $8.55 |
| 04-06 16:45 | Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league? | SELL | 0.96528125 | $61.78 |
| 04-02 16:47 | Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30? | BUY | 0.912 | $4.56 |
| 04-02 16:41 | Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league? | SELL | 0.879 | $0.88 |
| 04-02 12:55 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.52 | $7.80 |
| 04-02 12:25 | Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league? | BUY | 0.939 | $61.03 |
| 04-02 12:24 | Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30? | BUY | 0.91391125 | $29.25 |