JoeRox
0x8b1ee244c212a1d25f9932dfa6013da64f79a9d3
- Realised P&L
- $-104.57
- Volume
- $14.3k
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $13.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.53at 0.321Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
- +$8.18at 0.550S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 23?
- +$7.82at 0.390S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 8?
- +$7.62at 0.552Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
- +$6.11at 0.450Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-13 09:16 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0969999157 | $1.00 |
| 05-28 15:51 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.00 |
| 05-28 15:50 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 05-28 15:50 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 05-28 15:49 | Ebola case in the US by June 30? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 05-28 15:49 | JD Vance out as VP by December 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 05-19 15:42 | Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BUY | 0.0894420858 | $4.00 |
| 05-17 06:46 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-16 21:20 | Starmer out by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4293593768 | $5.00 |
| 05-16 21:20 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.619999969 | $2.00 |
| 05-16 21:19 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $1.00 |
| 03-24 20:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 25? | BUY | 0.52 | $0.97 |
| 03-24 20:35 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.6199998729 | $4.00 |
| 03-16 19:24 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.0450000005 | $5.00 |
| 03-16 15:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 16? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |