PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

JoeRox

0x8b1ee244c212a1d25f9932dfa6013da64f79a9d3

Realised P&L
$-104.57
Volume
$14.3k
Markets traded
92
Open portfolio
$13.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded92
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9590.981$6.13+$0.13
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? · Yes0.2200.070$1.60$3.40
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.1600.040$1.23$3.77
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.982$1.07+$0.07
JD Vance out as VP by December 31? · No0.9200.955$1.04+$0.04
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.3200.065$1.02$3.98
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3500.070$1.00$4.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1200.041$0.34$0.66
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.6200.081$0.26$1.74
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET · Down0.5400.000$0.00$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET · Up0.4180.000$0.00$5.62
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$5.00
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET · Up0.5310.000$0.00$2.05
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET · Down0.2840.000$0.00$7.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-13 09:16Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0969999157$1.00
05-28 15:51Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.025$1.00
05-28 15:50US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?BUY0.889999911$1.00
05-28 15:50Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?BUY0.92$1.00
05-28 15:49Ebola case in the US by June 30?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
05-28 15:49JD Vance out as VP by December 31?BUY0.92$1.00
05-19 15:42Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?BUY0.0894420858$4.00
05-17 06:46Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?BUY0.001$1.00
05-16 21:20Starmer out by May 31, 2026?BUY0.4293593768$5.00
05-16 21:20Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.619999969$2.00
05-16 21:19MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.65$1.00
03-24 20:37Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 25?BUY0.52$0.97
03-24 20:35Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.6199998729$4.00
03-16 19:24Netanyahu out by March 31?BUY0.0450000005$5.00
03-16 15:57Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 16?BUY0.001$2.00