Sjoppie
0x8b1b891e7198d91fb763cf50828205c8cf7f2cae
- Realised P&L
- $-385.20
- Volume
- $98.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,560
- Open portfolio
- $7.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,560
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 40°C on September 21? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.850 | $7.72 | +$3.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on September 21? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$9.04 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 21? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$6.72 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 21? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$1.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 21? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.45 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 21? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 21? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$0.36 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$198.92at 0.093Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 29?
- +$171.95at 0.136Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 3?
- +$104.44at 0.410Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 22?
- +$99.84at 0.352Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 5?
- +$90.58at 0.019Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 08:15 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.32 | $9.06 |
| 09-21 08:14 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.95 | $9.43 |
| 09-21 07:54 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 40°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.5199999515 | $4.72 |
| 09-21 04:58 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 09-21 04:52 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.5910685018 | $5.87 |
| 09-21 04:52 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.36 | $5.40 |
| 09-21 04:51 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.79 |
| 09-21 04:06 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.509999978 | $6.73 |
| 09-21 04:06 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.52 | $7.08 |
| 09-21 03:40 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.7326587243 | $9.98 |
| 09-21 03:34 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 09-21 03:26 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 09-21 03:10 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.55 |
| 09-21 03:10 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.49 | $4.90 |
| 09-21 03:09 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.3925 | $7.85 |