0x8b1799660899B529B7e77458E660d9ab21Da239D-1769617735700
0x8b1799660899b529b7e77458e660d9ab21da239d
- Realised P&L
- $441.10
- Volume
- $88.2k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $928.86
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration74.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.013 | $690.67 | +$174.56 |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.022 | $125.16 | −$44.99 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.114 | 0.105 | $74.03 | −$5.96 |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.006 | $39.00 | −$21.00 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.99 |
| Will there be at least 750 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 12:14 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.114 | $80.00 |
| 09-01 08:26 | Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0099853226 | $160.00 |
| 08-28 11:32 | Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.01 | $60.00 |
| 08-28 09:25 | Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0091192886 | $240.00 |
| 05-26 10:18 | Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.009 | $116.21 |
| 05-26 10:15 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.0945321921 | $125.36 |
| 04-16 22:31 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0424314262 | $306.00 |
| 04-16 21:07 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.038148989 | $22.47 |
| 01-30 12:33 | Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 01-28 18:23 | Will there be at least 750 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0529791639 | $15.00 |
| 01-28 17:36 | Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January? | BUY | 0.0030780122 | $2.00 |
| 01-28 17:35 | Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999945 | $40.00 |
| 01-28 17:15 | Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.042198234 | $5.00 |
| 01-28 17:09 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 01-28 17:07 | US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999957 | $30.00 |