PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8b1799660899B529B7e77458E660d9ab21Da239D-1769617735700

0x8b1799660899b529b7e77458e660d9ab21da239d

Realised P&L
$441.10
Volume
$88.2k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$928.86

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration74.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0090.013$690.67+$174.56
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0300.022$125.16$44.99
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1140.105$74.03$5.96
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0100.006$39.00$21.00
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$10.00
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$40.00
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January? · No0.0010.000$0.00$6.99
Will there be at least 750 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.0530.000$0.00$15.00
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00$5.00
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$30.00

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 12:14Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.114$80.00
09-01 08:26Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0099853226$160.00
08-28 11:32Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.01$60.00
08-28 09:25Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0091192886$240.00
05-26 10:18Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.009$116.21
05-26 10:15Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.0945321921$125.36
04-16 22:31Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0424314262$306.00
04-16 21:07Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.038148989$22.47
01-30 12:33Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?BUY0.001$5.00
01-28 18:23Will there be at least 750 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?BUY0.0529791639$15.00
01-28 17:36Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?BUY0.0030780122$2.00
01-28 17:35Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?BUY0.3699999945$40.00
01-28 17:15Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?BUY0.042198234$5.00
01-28 17:09US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.1$10.00
01-28 17:07US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?BUY0.2099999957$30.00