PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x35Ed91Ea4811B3542EE3e10F55d3Dec0433A2a25-1770657952674

0x8b1357fb1323c325590823b9e1daab69239f0c4a

Realised P&L
$-390.52
Volume
$33.8k
Markets traded
102
Open portfolio
$20.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded102
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · No0.5300.475$17.92$2.08
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1700.00 and 1799.99 at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.1290.081$2.43$1.44
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$11.00
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$7.80
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$6.50
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$3.90
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$18.00
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$9.00
Will Jordan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$6.00
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$5.00
Will Saudi Arabia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$31.16
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? · Yes0.1760.000$0.00$40.40
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$5.50
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$10.50
Will Cape Verde reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$6.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-18 17:51Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5BUY0.09$11.39
07-18 17:43Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.405$40.50
07-16 22:41Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.42$21.00
07-16 22:40Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.416$41.60
07-16 04:09Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4199999977$100.00
07-15 19:39England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4749999905$9.97
07-14 23:51England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.465$93.00
07-13 17:54France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.405$42.71
07-12 01:09Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.5524999884$14.89
07-11 23:47Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?SELL0.9975$15.25
07-11 13:20Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?BUY0.2575$3.94
07-10 20:59Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.355$35.50
07-09 14:47Will France win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.615$18.45
07-09 12:59Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?BUY0.2475$12.38
07-09 12:59Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.57$11.40