PolyBot

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Traders

0x8b12089d30997b86b37b37af3a38bdddeab418cb

0x8b12089d30997b86b37b37af3a38bdddeab418cb

Realised P&L
$4.56
Volume
$507.29
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$113.54

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration67.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Caedrel Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award? · Yes0.2900.425$27.08+$8.60
Will Srđan Amidžić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? · No0.9290.985$25.43+$1.43
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 3,900,000 and 4,100,000? · Yes0.0950.259$12.54+$7.93
Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? · Yes0.2430.750$6.40+$4.32
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 210,000 and 230,000? · Yes0.1100.255$4.87+$2.77
Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · Yes0.2020.216$3.22+$0.22
Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? · No0.8010.585$3.21−$1.19
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania be between 5,500,000 and 6,000,000? · Yes0.0790.232$2.93+$1.93
Will Max Holloway fight Justin Gaethje next? · No0.9290.914$2.61−$0.04
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000? · Yes0.2900.300$2.07+$0.07
Will Denis Zvizdić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? · No0.8200.750$1.83−$0.17
Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election? · Yes0.2800.485$1.73+$0.73
Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next? · Yes0.3590.170$1.61−$1.79
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 305,000 and 320,000? · Yes0.1500.225$1.50+$0.50
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,350,000 and 4,500,000? · No0.6500.901$1.39+$0.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 02:17Will Max Holloway fight Justin Gaethje next?SELL0.914$0.19
10-13 07:17Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?SELL0.23$0.11
10-09 16:13Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?SELL0.2$0.44
10-03 22:56Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be between 4,000,000 and 4,200,000?SELL0.66$0.07
10-01 04:23Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000?BUY0.2899999884$1.00
10-01 04:23Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000?BUY0.2899999884$1.00
09-29 13:01Will Youssef Zalal fight Kevin Vallejos next?SELL0.83$0.69
09-29 01:40Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be between 4,000,000 and 4,200,000?SELL0.66$0.04
09-25 01:24Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be between 4,000,000 and 4,200,000?SELL0.66$0.05
09-25 00:25Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be between 4,000,000 and 4,200,000?SELL0.66$0.01
09-24 20:01Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.559999776$1.00
09-24 14:15Will Youssef Zalal fight Kevin Vallejos next?SELL0.83$0.24
09-23 12:26Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 11,000,000 and 11,500,000?SELL0.98$0.01
09-23 12:26Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 11,000,000 and 11,500,000?SELL0.98$0.04
09-23 12:26Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 11,000,000 and 11,500,000?SELL0.966$0.03