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Traders

manrant2

0x8b116223a9c9ed1e20d4630e549d27a070395a66

Realised P&L
$-117.71
Volume
$20.1k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$16.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)31.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 06:16Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?BUY0.2$9.44
10-05 05:02Will Trump say "Million", "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?BUY0.169999995$5.46
10-04 14:38Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?BUY0.0269999999$5.57
07-10 04:34Over $8M committed to the Credible public sale?BUY0.077963802$8.33
06-23 14:00Will Trump say "Hottest" during June 24 Rally?BUY0.1499999975$47.90
06-23 07:30Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?BUY0.0278026889$16.00
06-22 20:31Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?SELL0.1763438527$23.08
06-21 15:56Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?BUY0.190979976$63.19
06-21 15:51Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?SELL0.2122153301$28.74
06-21 15:37Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?SELL0.2471428571$17.30
06-21 15:35Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?SELL0.25$10.00
06-21 15:30Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?SELL0.25$5.00
06-20 06:40Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?BUY0.2252113611$66.12
05-21 07:09Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?BUY0.0033787639$16.36
04-18 10:42Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?BUY0.1167616474$21.18