PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

naakkarub

0x8b10935df044bb6c015cd62abcd61238a1b5a5ae

Realised P&L
$119.04
Volume
$13.6k
Markets traded
94
Open portfolio
$58.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded94
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Beşiktaş win the 2026-27 Süper Lig? · Yes0.2540.355$20.59+$5.85
Will Besiktas finish first in UEL league phase? · Yes0.0720.076$16.00+$0.91
Will Fenerbahçe win the 2026-27 Süper Lig? · Yes0.2300.250$10.00+$0.80
Will Amed Sportif win on 2026-09-20? · Yes0.2200.235$7.05+$0.45
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? · Yes0.1800.065$5.20$9.20
Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$7.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET · Up0.3310.000$0.00$2.54
Will "Trump" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6) · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$5.00
Will Ukraine win the televote for Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$16.71
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET · Down0.2780.000$0.00$1.90
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$10.38
Will Trump attend UFC 327? · No0.1400.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET · Up0.5370.000$0.00$15.85
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 17, 2026? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00$1.18
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET · Down0.2950.000$0.00$2.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 09:42Will Besiktas finish first in UEL league phase?BUY0.08$4.80
09-19 09:42Will Besiktas finish first in UEL league phase?BUY0.069$10.29
09-19 09:38Will Amed Sportif win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.22$6.60
09-19 09:36Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?SELL0.942$18.84
09-17 18:48Will Fenerbahçe win the 2026-27 Süper Lig?BUY0.23$9.20
09-17 18:47Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.57$11.40
09-15 23:30Will Beşiktaş win the 2026-27 Süper Lig?BUY0.28994$2.90
09-15 23:30Will Beşiktaş win the 2026-27 Süper Lig?BUY0.27$5.40
09-15 23:23Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?BUY0.42$8.40
09-15 23:18Will Beşiktaş win the 2026-27 Süper Lig?BUY0.23$6.44
09-15 23:16Exact Score: Beşiktaş JK 1 - 0 Olympique de Marseille?BUY0.09$1.80
09-15 23:16Exact Score: Beşiktaş JK 3 - 0 Olympique de Marseille?BUY0.06$1.20
09-15 23:15Exact Score: Beşiktaş JK 2 - 1 Olympique de Marseille?BUY0.11$2.20
09-15 23:15Exact Score: Beşiktaş JK 2 - 0 Olympique de Marseille?BUY0.09$2.70
07-17 20:28Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 19, 2026?SELL0.11$2.20