PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

pm888888

0x8b061efbc841f93380eb1014ed2601b0725c86e6

Realised P&L
$3.0k
Volume
$5.69M
Markets traded
2,566
Open portfolio
$4.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,566
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9790.965$192.90$2.90
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · No0.9320.878$174.73$10.72
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.9130.915$158.49+$0.34
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? · No0.9910.991$99.05$0.05
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.9910.989$98.85$0.25
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.9910.988$98.75$0.35
Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? · No0.9890.987$98.65$0.25
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series? · No0.9900.986$98.55$0.45
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · No0.9840.982$98.20$0.20
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.9840.982$98.15$0.25
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? · No0.9810.981$98.10+$0.00
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9860.982$98.03$0.45
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · No0.9740.977$97.66+$0.25
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.9770.975$97.50$0.20
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? · No0.9910.972$97.20$1.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 14:19Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.966$12.54
08-02 05:01Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.943$6.60
07-27 17:37Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?SELL0.192$36.48
07-27 17:35Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?SELL0.2$2.00
07-25 04:59Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?SELL0.973$21.39
07-24 15:47Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?SELL0.991$99.10
07-24 15:37Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?SELL0.004$0.02
07-17 10:41Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?SELL0.962$14.99
07-15 20:55Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?SELL0.063$0.82
07-15 20:29Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?SELL0.22$22.00
07-15 15:05Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?SELL0.987$7.78
07-14 16:37Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?SELL0.993$9.93
07-14 14:11Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?SELL0.05$2.93
07-13 20:11Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.988$98.80
07-13 17:03Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.23$11.50