pm888888
0x8b061efbc841f93380eb1014ed2601b0725c86e6
- Realised P&L
- $3.0k
- Volume
- $5.69M
- Markets traded
- 2,566
- Open portfolio
- $4.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,566
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.886Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?
- +$43.52at 0.910Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?
- +$42.83at 0.990Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?
- +$38.56at 0.985Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?
- +$38.53at 0.917Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 14:19 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.966 | $12.54 |
| 08-02 05:01 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.943 | $6.60 |
| 07-27 17:37 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.192 | $36.48 |
| 07-27 17:35 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 07-25 04:59 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.973 | $21.39 |
| 07-24 15:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July? | SELL | 0.991 | $99.10 |
| 07-24 15:37 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.02 |
| 07-17 10:41 | Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.962 | $14.99 |
| 07-15 20:55 | Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | SELL | 0.063 | $0.82 |
| 07-15 20:29 | Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | SELL | 0.22 | $22.00 |
| 07-15 15:05 | Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.987 | $7.78 |
| 07-14 16:37 | Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.993 | $9.93 |
| 07-14 14:11 | Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.93 |
| 07-13 20:11 | Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.988 | $98.80 |
| 07-13 17:03 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $11.50 |