PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Baristas

0x8b046494b55b67a4a5ad79b0c196696c103a84da

Realised P&L
$863.40
Volume
$369.5k
Markets traded
115
Open portfolio
$20.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded115
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · No0.9570.962$9.4k+$40.81
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 14? · No0.9991.000$8.1k+$4.08
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 12-18? · No0.9940.996$995.50+$1.50
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 15? · No0.9951.000$964.52+$4.34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 15? · No0.9950.999$900.25+$3.16
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.240$63.86+$7.98
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 14? · No0.9970.999$4.99+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 07:30Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 15?BUY0.995$502.48
10-13 07:29Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 14?BUY0.997$4.99
10-13 07:29Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 12-18?BUY0.994$994.00
10-13 07:28Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 15?BUY0.9949874118$403.11
10-13 07:27Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 13?BUY0.998$6.5k
10-11 17:59Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.999$37.8k
10-11 17:58Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 5-11?BUY0.999$958.27
10-11 17:58Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?BUY0.998$3.2k
10-10 10:04Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.999$10.0k
10-10 10:04Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.999$10.0k
10-10 10:03Will Solana reach $150 October 5-11?BUY0.999$12.64
10-10 10:01Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 5-11?BUY0.9979969866$1.7k
10-10 10:00Will Ethereum reach $3,400 October 5-11?BUY0.998$4.99
10-10 09:56Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.999$4.0k
10-10 09:55Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.999$6.0k