fgdcl
0x8b00122775861283dd33a6e7b74a093cc029c9fd
- Realised P&L
- $-79.71
- Volume
- $49.0k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $38.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration92.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.247 | 0.227 | $38.03 | −$3.34 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$191.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$483.50at 0.718First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
- +$22.56at 0.693Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on March 27?
- +$13.29at 0.707Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
- +$3.56at 0.871Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?
- +$-2.99at 0.394Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-03 04:19 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $95.95 |
| 06-03 00:34 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $95.50 |
| 06-02 16:48 | Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2469332982 | $41.37 |
| 03-27 13:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on March 27? | SELL | 0.83 | $44.25 |
| 03-27 12:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on March 27? | BUY | 0.8759999978 | $37.62 |
| 03-27 12:40 | Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.933 | $33.38 |
| 03-27 12:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 27? | BUY | 0.019047619 | $1.00 |
| 03-27 12:39 | Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.934 | $5.44 |
| 03-27 12:39 | Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on March 27? | BUY | 0.875999942 | $8.95 |
| 03-27 12:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 27? | BUY | 0.2489998289 | $0.98 |
| 03-27 12:07 | Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.965 | $10.03 |
| 03-02 19:26 | Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8710909811 | $45.29 |
| 01-14 18:26 | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.05 | $63.75 |
| 01-02 17:19 | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | SELL | 0.64 | $51.20 |
| 01-02 17:16 | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BUY | 0.6599999958 | $41.00 |