popbhg
0x8afc4857ae548a05517c88e26f1d78252ac4bf03
- Realised P&L
- $-66.90
- Volume
- $21.9k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $52.63
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Human moon landing in 2026? · No | 0.987 | 0.984 | $50.82 | −$0.18 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.635 | $1.81 | −$0.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down on September 6?
- +$9.78at 0.450James Comey arrested by October 31?
- +$3.94at 0.957Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$3.81at 0.840Copa America: Argentina vs. Canada
- +$3.33at 0.900Will France win the 2024 Euros?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 19:08 | Human moon landing in 2026? | BUY | 0.9869999909 | $51.00 |
| 09-05 15:21 | Will "The Odyssey" 8th Weekend Box Office be at least 11m? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 09-05 15:21 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office be at least 15m? | BUY | 0.975 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 13:38 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.5569997956 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 14:06 | Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 14:44 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.996 | $2.7k |
| 06-26 14:44 | US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.966999977 | $11.00 |
| 06-26 14:43 | US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 14:42 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.1k |
| 06-26 14:40 | Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.699999755 | $2.00 |
| 06-26 14:40 | Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 77m? | BUY | 0.9099995859 | $2.00 |
| 06-26 14:40 | Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 77m? | BUY | 0.84 | $2.00 |
| 06-26 14:39 | Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 65m? | BUY | 0.8129999703 | $2.00 |
| 06-26 14:39 | Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 69m? | BUY | 0.8599999656 | $2.00 |
| 04-11 21:10 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $0.96 |