PolyBot

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Traders

LaCalavera

0x8af44f3a7511b61150f98e1b5f138602f158f24a

Realised P&L
$-296.27
Volume
$58.6k
Markets traded
1,684
Open portfolio
$1.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,684
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration47.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Daniel Dubois vs. Fabio Wardley · Fabio Wardley0.2600.275$1.06+$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 1? · No0.8950.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on June 1? · No0.9100.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 21? · No0.9000.000$0.00−$1.24
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 26? · No0.8990.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 21? · No0.9460.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 14? · No0.9400.000$0.00−$1.16
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) · Ilia Topuria0.8400.000$0.00−$28.65
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET · Up0.5500.000$0.00−$5.00
Partizan vs. Panathinaikos · Partizan0.3300.000$0.00−$6.83
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.8900.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 17:02Daniel Dubois vs. Fabio WardleyBUY0.2599999896$1.00
10-12 16:43Partizan vs. PanathinaikosBUY0.3299999952$6.83
08-04 17:36Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.9819999057$1.00
07-15 18:00Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.581$20.31
06-16 08:24Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1449999765$5.07
06-16 08:22UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)SELL0.32$5.33
06-01 14:25UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.8399999912$7.65
06-01 14:24Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 1?SELL0.998$1.81
06-01 14:24Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 1?SELL0.997$5.24
06-01 14:23UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.84$21.00
06-01 08:08Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 1?BUY0.939999989$1.71
06-01 05:54Will Ju Wenjun win Norway Chess 2026?SELL0.18$0.50
06-01 05:54Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 1?BUY0.95$5.00
06-01 05:53Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on June 1?BUY0.91$5.00
06-01 05:53Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 1?BUY0.8947567245$10.00