0x8Af379C73Ab7E9E692e7b461893Ff4B4E99EbfA1-1772966663439
0x8af379c73ab7e9e692e7b461893ff4b4e99ebfa1
- Realised P&L
- $3.5k
- Volume
- $34.9k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $793.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar10.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.142Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$503.70at 0.284Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
- +$421.59at 0.262US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
- +$306.40at 0.186Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
- +$205.59at 0.497Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 04:10 | Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.0721370232 | $40.00 |
| 08-01 04:10 | Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.044 | $49.98 |
| 08-01 02:48 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.44 | $33.00 |
| 08-01 02:27 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.4499999962 | $30.00 |
| 08-01 02:24 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.4699999992 | $40.00 |
| 08-01 02:03 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.55 | $100.00 |
| 07-27 20:19 | Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.4295167933 | $400.00 |
| 07-27 20:17 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.0179999983 | $10.00 |
| 07-26 14:52 | Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.3380260956 | $200.00 |
| 07-15 20:05 | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.2599999972 | $46.00 |
| 07-15 19:25 | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.32 | $89.00 |
| 07-15 18:59 | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.3799999987 | $100.00 |
| 07-14 19:24 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.2410973693 | $217.20 |
| 07-12 00:49 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7575 | $100.00 |
| 07-11 22:48 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5625 | $100.00 |