jasmine85
0x8ae853bd3480ee59021ae57b0507ff3f0f253b81
- Realised P&L
- $-21.77
- Volume
- $11.9k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $44.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 25? · Yes | 0.986 | 0.993 | $19.94 | +$0.14 |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on September 25? · No | 0.780 | 0.505 | $13.33 | −$7.26 |
| Will XRP dip to $1.20 in September? · No | 0.830 | 0.951 | $11.64 | +$1.48 |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on September 23? · No | 0.868 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.32at 0.989Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
- +$0.21at 0.730Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?
- +$0.19at 0.993Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?
- +$0.18at 0.988Will Elon tweet 240-249 times April 4 - 11?
- +$0.15at 0.997Will Hyperliquid hit $42 in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 09:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.9859999952 | $19.80 |
| 09-21 00:37 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on September 23? | BUY | 0.8679999994 | $17.56 |
| 01-31 13:53 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.66 |
| 01-30 15:56 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in January? | BUY | 0.998 | $17.43 |
| 01-30 14:38 | Will Opendoor reach $9.25 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.19 |
| 01-30 12:32 | Will Hyperliquid hit $42 in January? | BUY | 0.997 | $48.25 |
| 12-30 16:01 | Will Trump pardon Antoine Massey in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.26 |
| 12-30 12:48 | Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.995 | $20.86 |
| 12-29 23:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999906 | $6.93 |
| 12-29 23:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.04 |
| 12-29 23:10 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999805 | $30.54 |
| 12-29 21:55 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999939 | $19.86 |
| 10-30 19:58 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.9889999997 | $28.89 |
| 10-30 18:54 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.67 |
| 09-29 13:06 | Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao by September 30? | BUY | 0.9949999223 | $12.30 |