0x8ae7d7f33a6d9e3e644571d02c65345ddcaca274
0x8ae7d7f33a6d9e3e644571d02c65345ddcaca274
- Realised P&L
- $-16.64
- Volume
- $201.69
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $1.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Arizona (-7.5) · Arizona | 0.470 | 0.465 | $1.91 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.40at 0.347Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
- +$2.47at 0.669Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
- +$2.18at 0.699Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
- +$1.96at 0.718Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
- +$1.89at 0.728Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 23:34 | Spread: Arizona (-7.5) | BUY | 0.4699999976 | $1.93 |
| 09-30 23:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4299999482 | $1.91 |
| 09-30 23:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.7199999852 | $1.95 |
| 09-30 17:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6599999864 | $1.94 |
| 09-30 16:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5599999304 | $1.93 |
| 09-30 13:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.6799999721 | $4.87 |
| 09-30 08:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET | BUY | 0.4099999854 | $4.78 |
| 09-30 07:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $4.75 |
| 09-30 06:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.3699999961 | $4.76 |
| 09-30 04:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | BUY | 0.259999989 | $4.74 |
| 09-30 02:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET | BUY | 0.4099999854 | $4.78 |
| 09-30 02:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.3399999814 | $4.75 |
| 09-30 02:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | BUY | 0.3299999861 | $4.75 |
| 09-30 01:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET | BUY | 0.6499999198 | $4.86 |
| 09-29 23:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6999999713 | $4.88 |