0x8ae47b01a9361102b9360c4b068ff9061ce0de57
0x8ae47b01a9361102b9360c4b068ff9061ce0de57
- Realised P&L
- $7.02
- Volume
- $106.68
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $8.02
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · No | 0.660 | 0.984 | $1.49 | +$0.49 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.991 | $1.27 | +$0.27 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.967 | $1.19 | +$0.19 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $132.50 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.785 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,250 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.710 | 0.670 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.510 | $0.71 | −$0.29 |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · No | 0.340 | 0.205 | $0.60 | −$0.40 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $69 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.240 | $0.57 | −$0.43 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No | 0.370 | 0.038 | $0.10 | −$0.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.97at 0.258Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in August?
- +$2.54at 0.288SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 16?
- +$2.31at 0.308Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$1.91at 0.349Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$1.75at 0.369Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of September 14 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 22:21 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,250 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 14:20 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $132.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 06:10 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 21:50 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $69 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 00:51 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 05:55 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 20:31 | Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 00:08 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 18? | BUY | 0.7299994744 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 11:37 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 02:12 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 18:11 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 10:10 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 02:09 | Will Trump say "Make America Healthy Again" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 05:13 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 21:12 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |