0x8ae410dd13da6d86f061471ef98806f3b27ba074
0x8ae410dd13da6d86f061471ef98806f3b27ba074
- Realised P&L
- $-930.57
- Volume
- $25.2k
- Markets traded
- 245
- Open portfolio
- $172.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded245
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.745 | $172.92 | −$5.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$84.49at 0.535Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?
- +$84.02at 0.109Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$56.86at 0.690Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
- +$53.87at 0.409Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
- +$51.97at 0.610Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 07:02 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21? | BUY | 0.769754429 | $178.67 |
| 10-07 02:21 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.5199999961 | $21.55 |
| 10-07 02:21 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.5199999983 | $72.95 |
| 10-06 08:12 | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $15.00 |
| 10-06 08:09 | Will Scotland win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.5299999988 | $54.62 |
| 10-06 08:02 | Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.7699999988 | $74.03 |
| 08-20 13:14 | Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.64 | $1.25 |
| 08-20 13:13 | Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.64 | $4.00 |
| 08-20 13:12 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs | SELL | 0.999 | $5.39 |
| 08-20 09:43 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.45 | $2.43 |
| 08-20 09:43 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs | SELL | 0.088 | $2.65 |
| 08-20 09:21 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.4480029552 | $13.48 |
| 08-09 01:27 | Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.5417065253 | $7.10 |
| 08-09 01:25 | Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs | BUY | 0.5699999726 | $7.49 |
| 08-08 19:32 | Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Team Jenz - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.5099999574 | $4.19 |