Fridius
0x8adf0798feeea5dc27c7d08307db5f53a47648cd
- Realised P&L
- $-52.3k
- Volume
- $4.05M
- Markets traded
- 1,987
- Open portfolio
- $5.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,987
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration48.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
- +$1.6kat 0.794Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
- +$1.5kat 0.486Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
- +$1.4kat 0.498Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
- +$1.1kat 0.802Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 14:08 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on August 6? | BUY | 0.9985888 | $49.93 |
| 08-06 14:06 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.24 |
| 08-06 14:05 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.70 |
| 08-06 14:05 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.58 | $191.40 |
| 08-06 14:04 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.8755286378 | $565.59 |
| 08-06 14:03 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.9983312629 | $24.11 |
| 08-06 14:02 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $48.97 |
| 08-06 13:55 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.50 |
| 08-06 13:33 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.87 | $148.77 |
| 08-06 13:20 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.1 | $6.50 |
| 08-06 13:19 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.0176494215 | $2.14 |
| 08-06 13:13 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.6525266667 | $215.33 |
| 08-06 13:10 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $104.89 |
| 08-06 13:10 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.8555402105 | $406.38 |
| 08-06 12:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $98.00 |