PolyBot

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Traders

Fridius

0x8adf0798feeea5dc27c7d08307db5f53a47648cd

Realised P&L
$-54.1k
Volume
$4.52M
Markets traded
1,987
Open portfolio
$411.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,987
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0230.015$411.67−$207.91

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 12:41Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.05$402.67
09-29 12:39Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?SELL0.47$11.75
09-29 12:38Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?SELL0.862$21.55
09-29 12:37Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.985$44.33
09-29 12:36Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?SELL0.969$48.45
09-29 12:36US military draft authorized in 2026?SELL0.958$95.80
09-29 12:13Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.028$176.62
09-19 07:23Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.022$63.80
09-14 18:00Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.052139321$2.3k
09-14 17:55Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.026$136.39
09-14 17:53Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.025$371.08
08-06 14:08Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on August 6?BUY0.9985888$49.93
08-06 14:06Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 7?SELL0.002$0.24
08-06 14:05Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 7?SELL0.05$2.70
08-06 14:05Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 7?SELL0.58$191.40