SwissNostradamus
0x8adcb0a204522d5b8c43e277504d62af32f46b14
- Realised P&L
- $-6.8k
- Volume
- $799.8k
- Markets traded
- 2,815
- Open portfolio
- $37.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,815
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.530Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals
- +$339.77at 0.283Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals
- +$330.77at 0.569Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$296.89at 0.579Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals
- +$285.10at 0.369Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 18:01 | Croatia vs. England: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.599999988 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 18:00 | Will England win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.5399999881 | $20.00 |
| 10-02 17:59 | Will Ukraine win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 17:56 | Will Spain vs. Czechia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0699999994 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 17:55 | Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.6699999971 | $25.00 |
| 10-02 17:54 | France vs. Italy: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5899999841 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 17:53 | Will France win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.6799999987 | $42.00 |
| 09-28 23:55 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.5199999972 | $15.00 |
| 09-21 08:57 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.658646428 | $125.29 |
| 09-20 22:28 | Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.16 | $16.00 |
| 09-20 22:26 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.0625028022 | $11.89 |
| 08-12 15:51 | Will Real Madrid win on 2026-08-12? | BUY | 0.7099999976 | $35.00 |
| 08-12 15:51 | Will Manchester United win on 2026-08-12? | BUY | 0.5299999936 | $25.00 |
| 08-12 15:42 | Arsenal FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.4599999844 | $10.00 |
| 08-12 15:41 | Arsenal FC vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6199999942 | $15.00 |