PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

SwissNostradamus

0x8adcb0a204522d5b8c43e277504d62af32f46b14

Realised P&L
$-6.8k
Volume
$799.8k
Markets traded
2,815
Open portfolio
$37.72

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,815
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will England win on 2026-10-03? · Yes0.5400.565$20.93+$0.93
Croatia vs. England: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.6000.595$9.92−$0.08
Will Spain vs. Czechia end in a draw? · Yes0.0700.055$3.93−$1.07
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.6650.131$2.94−$12.05
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 · Over0.4200.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00−$55.00
Dani Olmo: 1+ goals · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00−$200.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.1750.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2790.000$0.00−$73.11
Scott McTominay: 2+ goals · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$25.00
Mexico vs. England: Draw at halftime? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? · Yes0.2740.000$0.00−$45.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 18:01Croatia vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.599999988$10.00
10-02 18:00Will England win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.5399999881$20.00
10-02 17:59Will Ukraine win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.4799999846$10.00
10-02 17:56Will Spain vs. Czechia end in a draw?BUY0.0699999994$5.00
10-02 17:55Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.6699999971$25.00
10-02 17:54France vs. Italy: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.5899999841$10.00
10-02 17:53Will France win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.6799999987$42.00
09-28 23:55Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.5199999972$15.00
09-21 08:57Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?SELL0.658646428$125.29
09-20 22:28Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.16$16.00
09-20 22:26Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.0625028022$11.89
08-12 15:51Will Real Madrid win on 2026-08-12?BUY0.7099999976$35.00
08-12 15:51Will Manchester United win on 2026-08-12?BUY0.5299999936$25.00
08-12 15:42Arsenal FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5BUY0.4599999844$10.00
08-12 15:41Arsenal FC vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.6199999942$15.00