Compassionate-Peony-Duffel
0x8adc70470b0cd5fd1562be4693d88d6df29bceaf
- Realised P&L
- $-5.1k
- Volume
- $285.1k
- Markets traded
- 3,273
- Open portfolio
- $3.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,273
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Habos Babos (BO3) - Project Blender Phase 2 Group A · Eintracht Frankfurt | 0.900 | 0.865 | $1.92 | −$0.08 |
| Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs Morningstar (BO3) - VOID Autumn Cup Playoffs · Alter Ego | 0.720 | 0.575 | $1.60 | −$0.40 |
| 76ers vs. Knicks · Knicks | 0.630 | 0.005 | $0.01 | −$0.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$380.16at 0.807XRP Up or Down - April 21, 6AM ET
- +$331.01at 0.679XRP Up or Down - April 19, 10PM ET
- +$275.35at 0.681XRP Up or Down - April 16, 3AM ET
- +$268.26at 0.750Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 10PM ET
- +$241.55at 0.791Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 4AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 00:04 | Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Habos Babos (BO3) - Project Blender Phase 2 Group A | BUY | 0.9 | $2.00 |
| 10-21 00:04 | Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs Morningstar (BO3) - VOID Autumn Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $2.00 |
| 10-20 16:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.889999967 | $5.39 |
| 10-20 16:41 | 76ers vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 16:41 | Spread: Pistons (-4.5) | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 03:34 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.8499999973 | $31.39 |
| 10-20 03:26 | Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Aurora Young Blood (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 6: Closed Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.85 | $2.00 |
| 10-20 03:26 | Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Infinite (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 10-20 03:24 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.889999999 | $36.00 |
| 10-19 15:12 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $2.00 |
| 10-19 15:10 | Commanders vs. 49ers | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 10-19 07:43 | Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-10-19? | BUY | 0.8899999985 | $30.08 |
| 10-19 07:39 | Counter-Strike: BIG vs PRIVATE (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2 Playoffs | BUY | 0.68 | $2.00 |
| 10-19 07:38 | Counter-Strike: GenOne vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage | BUY | 0.6899999345 | $2.00 |
| 10-19 02:24 | Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jake Delaney | BUY | 0.91 | $2.00 |