PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

shizikPRIME

0x8ad513134cd4c957c90448c8dee2a13290bdcd1d

Realised P&L
$147.36
Volume
$13.2k
Markets traded
131
Open portfolio
$212.45

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded131
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration82.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Relay launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.8660.935$108.01+$8.01
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.8990.875$97.27$2.73
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.9200.939$4.08+$0.08
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.8570.945$3.09+$0.29
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? · No0.8740.000$0.00$2.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 21? · Yes0.8170.000$0.00$2.00
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.9380.000$0.00$65.00
Will Ethereum reach $4400 in August? · No0.8200.000$0.00$2.50
Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August? · No0.8900.000$0.00$6.96
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-13? · No0.5100.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-25 18:38Will Relay launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8656716411$100.00
07-25 18:32Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.8995816909$100.00
07-25 18:31Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.771$5.98
07-25 18:30Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.87$24.50
06-21 16:19Will France win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.9099999854$2.50
06-21 16:19Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.64$2.50
06-20 20:54Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.8199999836$5.00
06-03 12:06Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7099999918$20.00
04-03 09:49Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.6449999903$5.00
04-03 09:48Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.8699999957$100.00
03-30 19:22Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?BUY0.64$5.00
03-30 19:05Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?BUY0.6683773955$3.64
02-04 12:43Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.7399997172$2.25
02-04 12:41Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY0.92$4.00
02-04 12:41Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.8569699763$2.80