shizikPRIME
0x8ad513134cd4c957c90448c8dee2a13290bdcd1d
- Realised P&L
- $147.36
- Volume
- $13.2k
- Markets traded
- 131
- Open portfolio
- $212.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded131
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Relay launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.866 | 0.935 | $108.01 | +$8.01 |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No | 0.899 | 0.875 | $97.27 | −$2.73 |
| Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No | 0.920 | 0.939 | $4.08 | +$0.08 |
| Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No | 0.857 | 0.945 | $3.09 | +$0.29 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? · No | 0.874 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 21? · Yes | 0.817 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.938 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$65.00 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4400 in August? · No | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August? · No | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.96 |
| Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-13? · No | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$223.99at 0.440Rockets vs. 76ers
- +$14.94at 0.870Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$8.44at 0.960Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?
- +$3.88at 0.724Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
- +$2.88at 0.526Liverpool wins the Premier League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 18:38 | Will Relay launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8656716411 | $100.00 |
| 07-25 18:32 | Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8995816909 | $100.00 |
| 07-25 18:31 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.771 | $5.98 |
| 07-25 18:30 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $24.50 |
| 06-21 16:19 | Will France win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.9099999854 | $2.50 |
| 06-21 16:19 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.50 |
| 06-20 20:54 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $5.00 |
| 06-03 12:06 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999918 | $20.00 |
| 04-03 09:49 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.6449999903 | $5.00 |
| 04-03 09:48 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.8699999957 | $100.00 |
| 03-30 19:22 | Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 03-30 19:05 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | BUY | 0.6683773955 | $3.64 |
| 02-04 12:43 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.7399997172 | $2.25 |
| 02-04 12:41 | Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.00 |
| 02-04 12:41 | Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8569699763 | $2.80 |