WayneWright4557
0x8acf63b7342e9f535cca5c29466c288601142f7b
- Realised P&L
- $-27.59
- Volume
- $140.3k
- Markets traded
- 185
- Open portfolio
- $853.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded185
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.918 | $840.43 | +$181.63 |
| Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend? · Dune 3 | 0.121 | 0.028 | $10.39 | −$35.34 |
| Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026? · No | 0.720 | 1.000 | $3.00 | +$0.84 |
| Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$233.32at 0.140Will MrBeast say "Hell" during his next video?
- +$211.99at 0.250Will Leavitt say "More" or "Again" 22+ times during the next White House press briefing?
- +$168.32at 0.120Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?
- +$106.74at 0.449Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?
- +$77.36at 0.790U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-12 01:29 | Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $14.60 |
| 04-12 01:28 | Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $14.60 |
| 04-11 18:40 | Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $654.08 |
| 04-11 09:04 | Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $35.52 |
| 04-10 13:55 | Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | BUY | 0.7495934959 | $737.60 |
| 04-09 21:41 | Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.65 | $406.90 |
| 04-09 11:49 | Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-04-12? | SELL | 0.66 | $359.04 |
| 04-07 17:18 | Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $350.56 |
| 03-30 14:59 | Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | SELL | 0.61 | $350.75 |
| 03-29 16:52 | Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-04-12? | BUY | 0.72 | $391.68 |
| 03-29 13:36 | Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | BUY | 0.61 | $350.75 |
| 03-26 08:19 | Will Trump post "Epic Fury" on Truth Social this week? | SELL | 0.54 | $51.84 |
| 03-26 03:16 | Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $45.54 |
| 03-24 13:50 | Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $45.54 |
| 03-24 05:51 | Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? | SELL | 0.27 | $416.61 |