Idolized-Decision
0x8acea35e1dfa35ebf3988e4b6e7eaadfd0a69f76
- Realised P&L
- $1.43
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $365.81
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.40at 0.110Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
- +$1.80at 0.100Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
- +$0.30at 0.370Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?
- +$-0.40at 0.290Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- +$-0.45at 0.280Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-24 19:27 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 10-23 05:30 | Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? | SELL | 0.25 | $3.75 |
| 10-23 05:27 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.38 | $11.40 |
| 10-23 05:25 | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | SELL | 0.28 | $11.20 |
| 10-22 05:36 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $5.20 |
| 10-20 23:28 | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 10-20 21:12 | Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $2.24 |
| 10-19 02:27 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.63 | $18.89 |
| 10-19 02:24 | Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.28 | $5.60 |
| 10-18 21:58 | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BUY | 0.29 | $5.80 |
| 10-18 21:53 | Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.28 | $5.60 |
| 10-17 06:23 | Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $2.88 |
| 10-15 21:52 | Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.24 | $7.20 |
| 10-14 18:17 | Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat? | BUY | 0.34 | $6.80 |
| 10-13 22:59 | Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1 | $3.00 |