PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Denilzzon10

0x8ac9a94b2159813cd4b374c659dc88ed013192d3

Realised P&L
$16.1k
Volume
$1.06M
Markets traded
394
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded394
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0270.024$1.8k$307.65
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) · Bosnia and Herzegovina0.0470.000$0.00$200.00
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.1290.000$0.00$100.00
Spread: Canada (-2.5) · Canada0.0390.000$0.00$500.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$159.37
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00$50.08
Spread: England (-1.5) · England0.5100.000$0.00$1000.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET · Down0.3810.000$0.00$106.25
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET · Up0.3950.000$0.00$789.37
Will Poland win on 2026-03-31? · Yes0.2520.000$0.00$2.1k
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$27.10
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5 · Over0.2100.000$0.00$110.00
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 · Over0.0480.000$0.00$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET · Up0.2800.000$0.00$10.68
Spread: Argentina (-2.5) · Argentina0.4300.000$0.00$300.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 17:03Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0259999979$12.00
07-30 23:55Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0307543726$1.1k
07-30 21:33Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0254723925$862.81
07-30 21:33Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0228405671$100.00
07-30 21:33Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.021475231$100.00
07-19 14:08Spread: Argentina (-1.5)BUY0.0874999987$61.87
07-09 18:22Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.1449999778$5.00
07-07 03:45Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.01$100.00
07-07 02:47Spread: Norway (-1.5)BUY0.0899999996$200.00
07-07 02:46Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.004$50.00
07-07 02:45Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0279999999$200.00
07-07 01:41Exact Score: Any Other Score?SELL0.3719000091$1.0k
07-07 01:37Exact Score: Any Other Score?BUY0.4728552155$1.3k
07-07 01:33Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Belgium?BUY0.0679855871$25.00
07-07 01:02Will United States win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.1099999977$40.00