Denilzzon10
0x8ac9a94b2159813cd4b374c659dc88ed013192d3
- Realised P&L
- $16.1k
- Volume
- $1.06M
- Markets traded
- 394
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded394
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.024 | $1.8k | −$307.65 |
| Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) · Bosnia and Herzegovina | 0.047 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? · Yes | 0.129 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Spread: Canada (-2.5) · Canada | 0.039 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$159.37 |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.08 |
| Spread: England (-1.5) · England | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET · Down | 0.381 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$106.25 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET · Up | 0.395 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$789.37 |
| Will Poland win on 2026-03-31? · Yes | 0.252 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.1k |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.10 |
| Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$110.00 |
| Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 · Over | 0.048 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET · Up | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.68 |
| Spread: Argentina (-2.5) · Argentina | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.9kat 0.022Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 5.5
- +$7.3kat 0.007Exact Score: Algeria 3 - 3 Austria?
- +$3.6kat 0.293Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?
- +$1.9kat 0.375Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance
- +$1.7kat 0.280Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 17:03 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0259999979 | $12.00 |
| 07-30 23:55 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0307543726 | $1.1k |
| 07-30 21:33 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0254723925 | $862.81 |
| 07-30 21:33 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0228405671 | $100.00 |
| 07-30 21:33 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.021475231 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 14:08 | Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | BUY | 0.0874999987 | $61.87 |
| 07-09 18:22 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.1449999778 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 03:45 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.01 | $100.00 |
| 07-07 02:47 | Spread: Norway (-1.5) | BUY | 0.0899999996 | $200.00 |
| 07-07 02:46 | Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.004 | $50.00 |
| 07-07 02:45 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0279999999 | $200.00 |
| 07-07 01:41 | Exact Score: Any Other Score? | SELL | 0.3719000091 | $1.0k |
| 07-07 01:37 | Exact Score: Any Other Score? | BUY | 0.4728552155 | $1.3k |
| 07-07 01:33 | Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Belgium? | BUY | 0.0679855871 | $25.00 |
| 07-07 01:02 | Will United States win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.1099999977 | $40.00 |