kristin67
0x8ac6344f3423775aed15208ffd4cc282268a43c9
- Realised P&L
- $-54.11
- Volume
- $10.4k
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $75.28
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on September 24? · No | 0.554 | 0.969 | $26.70 | +$11.43 |
| Will India A win? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.905 | $18.29 | −$0.31 |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in August? · No | 0.710 | 0.755 | $14.33 | +$0.85 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.600 | $11.41 | −$1.90 |
| Spread: Washington (-10.5) · Minnesota | 0.530 | 0.535 | $4.55 | +$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.45at 0.730No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
- +$3.78at 0.721Will Solana dip to $180 by January 31, 2025?
- +$2.53at 0.999Will Xi visit the US before May?
- +$0.22at 0.980Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April?
- +$0.13at 0.990Will OpenAI have the second best AI model on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 05:24 | Will India A win? | BUY | 0.9201063743 | $18.60 |
| 01-31 13:57 | Will Solana dip to $90 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.04 |
| 01-30 17:05 | Will XRP dip to $1.20 in January? | BUY | 0.997 | $13.38 |
| 01-30 15:49 | Will Hyperliquid hit $42 in January? | BUY | 0.9979999651 | $20.53 |
| 01-30 15:31 | Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $20.52 |
| 01-30 13:16 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.73 |
| 12-30 08:21 | Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.36 |
| 12-30 01:15 | Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.50 |
| 12-29 23:59 | Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.09 |
| 12-29 22:22 | Dogecoin all time high before 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999995 | $47.93 |
| 10-30 21:57 | Will Moonshot have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.36 |
| 10-30 20:40 | Will xAI have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.995 | $24.49 |
| 09-29 16:49 | Will Trump sue Powell by September 30? | BUY | 0.9979999687 | $16.34 |
| 09-29 04:47 | Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.35 |
| 09-29 04:04 | Will Meta have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.50 |