PolyBot

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Traders

kingkong921

0x8ac06cc3ca6b7125bf095b56a2577176cedafec3

Realised P&L
$-0.32
Volume
$12.7k
Markets traded
52
Open portfolio
$1.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded52
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample49 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)49.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Scott Hamilton win the 2026 Cambridge mayoral election? · Yes0.8000.680$1.70−$0.30
Over $10M committed to the ZKLSOL raise on MetaDAO? · No0.8300.000$0.00−$3.00
XRP Up or Down in May? · Up0.7400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 19:47Will Scott Hamilton win the 2026 Cambridge mayoral election?BUY0.8$2.00
09-30 20:42Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.5099998215$1.00
09-30 20:41Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?SELL0.34$1.06
08-12 19:30Will Eva Bender win the next Hannover Region presidential election?BUY0.63$1.00
07-25 19:24Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?BUY0.7099999432$1.00
07-25 19:24Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.55$1.77
07-25 19:23Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
06-22 20:36Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?BUY0.579999826$1.00
06-22 20:34Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?BUY0.3599998704$1.00
05-27 20:23Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.619999969$2.00
04-04 19:45Will Trump attend UFC 327?BUY0.7099999432$1.00
04-04 19:44Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?SELL0.79$1.98
03-14 19:52Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?BUY0.8$2.00
03-14 19:51Another US bank failure by March 31?SELL0.82$2.07
02-15 20:38Another US bank failure by March 31?BUY0.7899999289$2.00