kingkong921
0x8ac06cc3ca6b7125bf095b56a2577176cedafec3
- Realised P&L
- $-0.32
- Volume
- $12.7k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $1.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)49.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Scott Hamilton win the 2026 Cambridge mayoral election? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.680 | $1.70 | −$0.30 |
| Over $10M committed to the ZKLSOL raise on MetaDAO? · No | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| XRP Up or Down in May? · Up | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.62at 0.156Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$5.11at 0.490Senators vs. Red Wings
- +$2.56at 0.540Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
- +$2.00at 0.600Nuggets vs. Mavericks
- +$1.75at 0.371Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 19:47 | Will Scott Hamilton win the 2026 Cambridge mayoral election? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 20:42 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 20:41 | Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.34 | $1.06 |
| 08-12 19:30 | Will Eva Bender win the next Hannover Region presidential election? | BUY | 0.63 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 19:24 | Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.7099999432 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 19:24 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.55 | $1.77 |
| 07-25 19:23 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 06-22 20:36 | Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.579999826 | $1.00 |
| 06-22 20:34 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 05-27 20:23 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.619999969 | $2.00 |
| 04-04 19:45 | Will Trump attend UFC 327? | BUY | 0.7099999432 | $1.00 |
| 04-04 19:44 | Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | SELL | 0.79 | $1.98 |
| 03-14 19:52 | Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 03-14 19:51 | Another US bank failure by March 31? | SELL | 0.82 | $2.07 |
| 02-15 20:38 | Another US bank failure by March 31? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |