Merino-
0x8ab8771ce7fed711a65d8bc7671914ec8bf83406
- Realised P&L
- $-5.60
- Volume
- $145.94
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $14.63
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs Peak Agency - Map 1 Winner · QUINTESSÊNCIA | 0.820 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$0.90 |
| Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-16? · Yes | 0.550 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$2.25 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.073 | $3.82 | +$0.34 |
| Will Internacional de Bogotá win on 2026-09-16? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.135 | $0.81 | −$0.21 |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during his remarks in North Carolina? · No | 0.310 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.55 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET · Down | 0.960 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET · Up | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET · Down | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET · Up | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.65at 0.270Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
- +$1.94at 0.724Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
- +$1.28at 0.617Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
- +$0.42at 0.878Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
- +$0.38at 0.887Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 00:20 | Will Internacional de Bogotá win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.02 |
| 09-16 22:14 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 09-16 21:46 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.067 | $1.01 |
| 09-16 21:38 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.067 | $2.48 |
| 09-15 13:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET | BUY | 0.439999956 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 13:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 10:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 10:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 09:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | BUY | 0.8699999652 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 09:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | BUY | 0.8799999765 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 09:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | BUY | 0.629999995 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 09:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 09:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 09:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $5.36 |
| 09-15 08:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.9299998419 | $5.00 |