Theendin
0x8ab4120a0d9fd25b5ee1e5d18e43d6bc4a20ef40
- Realised P&L
- $-52.39
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $6.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.13at 0.150Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
- +$4.34at 0.174Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
- +$2.92at 0.120Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?
- +$2.11at 0.150Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
- +$2.00at 0.120Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 13:07 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.0268372319 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 13:04 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 23:15 | Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in October 2026? | BUY | 0.0594059406 | $3.00 |
| 10-09 18:22 | Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in October 2026? | BUY | 0.0779999989 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 16:39 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.0157075259 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 15:42 | Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI? | SELL | 0.072 | $1.44 |
| 10-09 15:21 | Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 10-09 14:02 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.73 |
| 10-09 06:53 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.035 | $0.26 |
| 10-08 20:52 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.1369999826 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 15:55 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.0749999963 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 13:51 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.95 |
| 09-03 07:29 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999373 | $2.00 |
| 06-14 15:07 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 23:57 | Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 28? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |