0x8aACDd214a998F8706B6a32f0340cd3b8b459b5E-1775690447209
0x8aacdd214a998f8706b6a32f0340cd3b8b459b5e
- Realised P&L
- $-300.66
- Volume
- $10.8k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $197.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.23at 0.366Will XRP reach $1.60 in September?
- +$18.31at 0.359Will Trump say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 15+ times during remarks at Steel Across America?
- +$15.58at 0.783Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
- +$11.57at 0.341Will Trump say "Gulf of America" this week? (April 19)
- +$5.02at 0.669Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in New York?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 09:30 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4499999843 | $10.00 |
| 10-09 19:02 | Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in New York? | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 10-09 19:02 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in New York? | BUY | 0.0482701545 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 23:07 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | BUY | 0.3421744598 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 23:06 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 23:01 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? | BUY | 0.1337204844 | $10.00 |
| 09-07 20:29 | Will XRP reach $1.60 in September? | BUY | 0.3499999948 | $20.00 |
| 09-07 20:27 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5174618912 | $50.00 |
| 09-07 20:23 | Will Trump say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 15+ times during remarks at Steel Across America? | BUY | 0.3499999948 | $10.00 |
| 09-07 20:22 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | BUY | 0.5280558725 | $60.00 |
| 09-07 20:21 | Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.0780879895 | $50.00 |
| 08-21 09:10 | Will Solana reach $160 in August? | SELL | 0.0063772 | $1.59 |
| 08-19 23:36 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.0169999831 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 23:32 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? | BUY | 0.1938776816 | $35.00 |
| 08-19 23:32 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? | BUY | 0.0915942317 | $10.00 |