PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x8aACDd214a998F8706B6a32f0340cd3b8b459b5E-1775690447209

0x8aacdd214a998f8706b6a32f0340cd3b8b459b5e

Realised P&L
$-300.66
Volume
$10.8k
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$197.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · Yes0.5280.795$90.33+$30.33
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5170.440$42.47−$7.53
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? · Yes0.1940.120$21.66−$13.34
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? · Yes0.0910.155$16.98+$6.98
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4500.315$7.00−$3.00
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? · Yes0.1340.085$6.36−$3.64
UK Recession in 2026? · Yes0.1120.045$6.04−$8.96
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2500.090$3.60−$6.40
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027? · Yes0.3500.105$3.30−$7.70
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? · Yes0.6400.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? · Yes0.3290.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$1.00
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Trump say "Nuke" this week? (April 19) · Yes0.4400.000$0.00−$15.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? · Yes0.3420.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 09:30Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.4499999843$10.00
10-09 19:02Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in New York?BUY0.6599999842$10.00
10-09 19:02Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in New York?BUY0.0482701545$1.00
09-18 23:07Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?BUY0.3421744598$10.00
09-18 23:06Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?BUY0.64$10.00
09-18 23:01U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?BUY0.1337204844$10.00
09-07 20:29Will XRP reach $1.60 in September?BUY0.3499999948$20.00
09-07 20:27Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.5174618912$50.00
09-07 20:23Will Trump say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 15+ times during remarks at Steel Across America?BUY0.3499999948$10.00
09-07 20:22Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?BUY0.5280558725$60.00
09-07 20:21Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?BUY0.0780879895$50.00
08-21 09:10Will Solana reach $160 in August?SELL0.0063772$1.59
08-19 23:36Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?BUY0.0169999831$1.00
08-19 23:32U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?BUY0.1938776816$35.00
08-19 23:32U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?BUY0.0915942317$10.00