Irgendana
0x8aa6804391e22afa392bd20095bc95937915c27b
- Realised P&L
- $-119.76
- Volume
- $124.5k
- Markets traded
- 438
- Open portfolio
- $6.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded438
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$288.20at 0.700Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$276.50at 0.626S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 16?
- +$263.98at 0.535Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 16?
- +$253.43at 0.682S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 17?
- +$245.00at 0.262Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 6PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-22 16:13 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $299.70 |
| 04-21 16:36 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 21? | SELL | 0.999 | $339.65 |
| 04-20 07:45 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 20? | BUY | 0.75 | $7.35 |
| 04-20 06:30 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 20? | BUY | 0.7 | $34.16 |
| 04-19 12:38 | FC Nordsjælland vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.795 | $7.85 |
| 04-19 11:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $6.94 |
| 04-17 19:05 | Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on April 17? | SELL | 0.998 | $9.96 |
| 04-17 19:04 | NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 17? | SELL | 0.97 | $8.72 |
| 04-17 18:56 | Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on April 17? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 04-17 18:55 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? | SELL | 0.04 | $8.00 |
| 04-17 17:37 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 17? | BUY | 0.889 | $79.30 |
| 04-17 13:32 | Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 17? | BUY | 0.73 | $71.42 |
| 04-17 13:30 | Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 17? | BUY | 0.7 | $6.83 |
| 04-17 13:29 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $531.54 |
| 04-17 13:15 | Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 17? | BUY | 0.8 | $3.94 |