0x8aA65E1Ecd34A2BcEE1922d02dD1d71458f8cC97-1768965426719
0x8aa65e1ecd34a2bcee1922d02dd1d71458f8cc97
- Realised P&L
- $-25.49
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $43.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain snap election called in 2026? · Yes | 0.239 | 0.195 | $43.70 | −$9.88 |
| Will VOX (VOX) win the Andalusia regional election? · Yes | 0.263 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$151.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.89at 0.540Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
- +$-2.00at 0.029Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31?
- +$-2.06at 0.340Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- +$-2.16at 0.043Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
- +$-9.44at 0.304Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 23:20 | Spain snap election called in 2026? | BUY | 0.2265492379 | $23.58 |
| 09-08 00:38 | Spain snap election called in 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $20.00 |
| 09-08 00:36 | Spain snap election called in 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 04-25 00:23 | Will VOX (VOX) win the Andalusia regional election? | BUY | 0.0086188381 | $4.78 |
| 04-25 00:22 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL | 0.017 | $0.56 |
| 04-25 00:22 | Spain snap election called in 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.69 |
| 04-25 00:22 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.2 | $2.94 |
| 03-27 02:49 | Spain snap election called in 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999456 | $2.45 |
| 03-27 02:45 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.3039215549 | $10.00 |
| 03-27 02:35 | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.84 |
| 03-27 02:34 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | SELL | 0.98 | $10.89 |
| 02-08 22:04 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.539999964 | $6.00 |
| 02-08 22:02 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.3399999633 | $5.00 |
| 02-08 21:50 | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | BUY | 0.0429999868 | $3.00 |
| 02-08 21:44 | Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31? | BUY | 0.0295452838 | $2.00 |