zhongxuan
0x8aa655c4298bb609f35e8316a5cbcb1980200401
- Realised P&L
- $-37.40
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $41.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)15.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.846 | $28.27 | +$7.55 |
| Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 44% and 47% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.990 | $10.06 | +$3.96 |
| Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 36m? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.005 | $1.77 | −$1.42 |
| Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.091 | $0.91 | −$0.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.35at 0.214Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
- +$1.14at 0.225Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$0.14at 0.990US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
- +$-0.04at 0.188Will Trump and Putin not meet?
- +$-0.25at 0.004Iran closes its airspace by May 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 11:34 | Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 11:32 | Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31? | SELL | 0.095 | $4.33 |
| 10-05 11:15 | Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $4.56 |
| 10-04 09:50 | Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 36m? | BUY | 0.009 | $3.19 |
| 10-04 07:58 | Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 32m? | SELL | 0.72 | $3.44 |
| 10-04 07:53 | Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 32m? | BUY | 0.78 | $3.73 |
| 10-04 05:05 | Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 44% and 47% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5999999803 | $6.10 |
| 10-01 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.1845232785 | $8.76 |
| 10-01 16:04 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.78 | $9.30 |
| 10-01 16:00 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.8199999883 | $9.78 |
| 10-01 15:44 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6196243958 | $20.72 |
| 05-13 10:05 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 05-06 14:12 | Iran closes its airspace by May 6? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.75 |
| 05-06 11:24 | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BUY | 0.0899999599 | $2.00 |
| 05-06 11:19 | Iran closes its airspace by May 6? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |