braconier
0x8a9da36b834f36bf64158207cc6ab0f46b0761d6
- Realised P&L
- $-6.4k
- Volume
- $128.8k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $21.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$103.48at 0.140Cardano ETF in 2025?
- +$94.90at 0.123Ripple ETF approved in 2025?
- +$89.53at 0.143Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
- +$57.46at 0.080Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
- +$25.76at 0.660Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 13:45 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September? | BUY | 0.0899999999 | $25.00 |
| 09-10 13:42 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 09-10 13:39 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.00 |
| 12-29 07:58 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $144.00 |
| 12-29 07:57 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025? | SELL | 0.002 | $6.76 |
| 12-08 11:51 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $10.01 |
| 11-24 07:14 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025? | BUY | 0.0653759111 | $29.42 |
| 10-23 06:09 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025? | BUY | 0.1 | $33.00 |
| 10-17 08:03 | Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 17? | BUY | 0.63 | $36.00 |
| 10-17 06:52 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $69.69 |
| 10-16 14:51 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025? | BUY | 0.09 | $298.39 |
| 10-16 14:46 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025? | BUY | 0.08 | $54.40 |
| 10-12 08:42 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025? | BUY | 0.09 | $6.30 |
| 10-01 11:54 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.50 |
| 09-19 06:58 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025? | BUY | 0.14 | $140.00 |