PolyBot

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Traders

braconier

0x8a9da36b834f36bf64158207cc6ab0f46b0761d6

Realised P&L
$-6.4k
Volume
$128.8k
Markets traded
60
Open portfolio
$21.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded60
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)35.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September? · Yes0.0900.079$21.94$3.06
US recession in 2025? · Yes0.2280.000$0.00$13.70
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00$3.10
Trump x Khamenei talk in 2025? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$29.94
Litecoin ETF approved in 2025? · No0.1300.000$0.00$25.56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? · No0.0010.000$0.00$5.00
Will Trump be impeached in 2025? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$1.00
Will Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2025? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$21.79
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 17? · Down0.6300.000$0.00$36.00
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$16.00
Israel confirms it has nuclear weapons in 2025? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$12.58
Will Gold close at $2,700-2,800 at the end of 2025? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$9.23
Will Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025? · Yes0.1110.000$0.00$353.43
Will Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before September? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$10.00
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$1.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 13:45Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September?BUY0.0899999999$25.00
09-10 13:42Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?BUY0.001$2.00
09-10 13:39Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?BUY0.001$3.00
12-29 07:58Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?BUY0.18$144.00
12-29 07:57Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?SELL0.002$6.76
12-08 11:51Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?BUY0.11$10.01
11-24 07:14Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?BUY0.0653759111$29.42
10-23 06:09Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?BUY0.1$33.00
10-17 08:03Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 17?BUY0.63$36.00
10-17 06:52Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?BUY0.34$69.69
10-16 14:51Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?BUY0.09$298.39
10-16 14:46Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?BUY0.08$54.40
10-12 08:42Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?BUY0.09$6.30
10-01 11:54Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?BUY0.1$0.50
09-19 06:58Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?BUY0.14$140.00