PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x8a9c95042bd36eee6a7bb3b6a1f51e37f8bc8d4f

Realised P&L
$-20.24
Volume
$544.50
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$248.41

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration51.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)43.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.2580.195$81.35$26.41
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.0900.157$43.61+$18.61
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.5610.920$40.99+$16.00
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.6500.420$25.85$14.15
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.5610.350$24.93$15.07
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · No0.8970.920$15.71+$0.40
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · No0.8700.865$8.65$0.05
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? · No0.9361.000$5.34+$0.34
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0690.131$1.98+$0.93

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 22:25France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0694142226$1.05
08-17 03:48US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?BUY0.12$1.23
08-17 02:03US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?SELL0.05$1.01
08-17 00:53US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?SELL0.05$0.01
08-16 23:40US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?SELL0.05$0.02
08-16 23:25US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?SELL0.05$0.03
08-16 05:50US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?BUY0.069999958$1.50
08-14 00:58US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?SELL0.13$0.76
08-13 06:57US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?BUY0.2099998959$1.23
08-11 11:17Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.51$2.10
08-08 22:22Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.4399999028$1.81
08-08 19:00Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?SELL0.81$1.24
08-03 05:01Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?BUY0.6899999935$1.06
08-03 01:04Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7?BUY0.1399999753$4.42
08-01 21:39Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?SELL0.25$1.15