0x8a99083cb40dcb4990d3311f12aa0ca0f06ed4b1
- Realised P&L
- $76.10
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $24.71
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants · Minnesota Twins | 0.520 | 0.525 | $10.10 | +$0.10 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles · Toronto Blue Jays | 0.510 | 0.495 | $9.71 | −$0.29 |
| Giants vs. Rams · Giants | 0.270 | 0.265 | $4.91 | −$0.09 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees · New York Yankees | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros · Houston Astros | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners · Chicago Cubs | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers · Baltimore Orioles | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds · Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.14 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes | 0.262 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-18? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds · Cincinnati Reds | 0.434 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.93 |
| New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies · New York Yankees | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.07 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays · Toronto Blue Jays | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians · San Francisco Giants | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.03at 0.156Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
- +$17.82at 0.632Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- +$14.06at 0.592Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- +$12.97at 0.442Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)
- +$10.57at 0.492Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 12:22 | Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 12:22 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 12:21 | Giants vs. Rams | BUY | 0.269999993 | $5.00 |
| 08-22 13:42 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.5799999861 | $10.00 |
| 08-22 13:41 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 08-22 13:41 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 08-21 12:57 | Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 08-21 12:56 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.5899999947 | $10.00 |
| 08-21 12:56 | Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 08-21 12:55 | Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.4299999931 | $10.00 |
| 08-20 19:49 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.629999988 | $10.00 |
| 08-20 16:16 | Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $10.00 |
| 08-20 14:25 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.6099999994 | $10.00 |
| 08-20 14:24 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 08-20 14:24 | San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.3499999842 | $10.00 |