PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

bigbosa24

0x8a971f090933deb8bf46b6457879ce50f9953b04

Realised P&L
$1.8k
Volume
$319.8k
Markets traded
137
Open portfolio
$182.97

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded137
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 · Yes0.1710.065$113.82$186.18
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? · Yes0.2900.250$43.10$6.90
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0300.041$12.01+$3.01
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0140.005$7.78$12.22
NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? · Yes0.1200.075$6.25$3.75
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$27.72
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 30-July 6? · Yes0.9900.000$0.00$1.00
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00$312.40
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$60.13
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 23-29? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00$32.98
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00$241.50
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-10 03:36Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.1093327283$692.14
07-06 07:11Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.009$5.80
07-02 16:27Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.7649999977$67.00
07-02 16:23Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?SELL0.6640957062$64.18
07-02 01:44Will United States win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.8$3.43
07-02 01:43Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?SELL0.046$3.54
07-02 01:14Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?BUY0.0082885587$2.05
07-02 01:14Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?BUY0.46$241.50
07-02 01:06NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27?BUY0.1199999899$10.00
07-02 00:48Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.0259999876$2.00
07-02 00:48Will United States win on 2026-07-01?SELL0.86$37.93
07-02 00:31Will United States win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.6799999946$20.00
07-02 00:30Will United States win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.6799999946$10.00
07-01 23:32Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?BUY0.620793069$60.00
07-01 23:10Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.0299297851$289.53
Trader bigbosa24 · PolyBot