bigbosa24
0x8a971f090933deb8bf46b6457879ce50f9953b04
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $319.8k
- Markets traded
- 137
- Open portfolio
- $182.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded137
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.360Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
- +$1.1kat 0.077Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
- +$510.68at 0.710Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
- +$493.44at 0.376Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?
- +$340.44at 0.520Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 03:36 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.1093327283 | $692.14 |
| 07-06 07:11 | Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.009 | $5.80 |
| 07-02 16:27 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.7649999977 | $67.00 |
| 07-02 16:23 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.6640957062 | $64.18 |
| 07-02 01:44 | Will United States win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.8 | $3.43 |
| 07-02 01:43 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01? | SELL | 0.046 | $3.54 |
| 07-02 01:14 | Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.0082885587 | $2.05 |
| 07-02 01:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July? | BUY | 0.46 | $241.50 |
| 07-02 01:06 | NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |
| 07-02 00:48 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.0259999876 | $2.00 |
| 07-02 00:48 | Will United States win on 2026-07-01? | SELL | 0.86 | $37.93 |
| 07-02 00:31 | Will United States win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $20.00 |
| 07-02 00:30 | Will United States win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |
| 07-01 23:32 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.620793069 | $60.00 |
| 07-01 23:10 | Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.0299297851 | $289.53 |