kmavillanosa
0x8a92e53e2f67f5c2379aabb3b89a254c55c7e272
- Realised P&L
- $2.04
- Volume
- $137.54
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $41.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration52.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 21? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.240 | $21.85 | +$3.64 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.425 | $19.76 | +$1.63 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 12:56 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.3899999957 | $18.13 |
| 09-20 06:56 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.2 | $18.21 |