PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8a924f07a55a5770fb3f23105ce7e6c3a737b273

Realised P&L
$-218.83
Volume
$4.7k
Markets traded
48
Open portfolio
$4.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded48
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? · Yes0.0800.071$4.47$0.53
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$9.97
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01? · Yes0.6900.000$0.00$9.97
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0940.000$0.00$5.00
Will Micah Parsons win the 2025-26 NFL DPOY? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$3.00
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$1.25
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens · Sabres0.6700.000$0.00$1.97
Dodgers vs. Blue Jays · Blue Jays0.4500.000$0.00$2.00
Will the Packers win the NFC Championship? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$9.80
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$1.25
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$9.97
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$15.75
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00$1.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-07 02:03NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens BUY0.6699996633$1.97
04-18 18:37Raptors vs. CavaliersBUY0.0899999845$4.73
01-30 19:12Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?BUY0.08$5.00
01-10 14:56Packers vs. BearsBUY0.55$4.85
12-31 23:01Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada in 2025?BUY0.0073787343$4.98
12-16 04:00Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?BUY0.1299999898$9.97
12-07 19:03Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?BUY0.007$9.97
11-05 02:15Another Canada election called in 2025?BUY0.0843981501$1.99
11-01 15:37Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?BUY0.6899999958$9.97
10-27 03:27Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?BUY0.3599999643$5.25
10-27 03:27Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?BUY0.179999976$5.25
10-27 03:26Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?BUY0.179999976$5.25
10-27 03:25Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.2$5.25
10-27 03:23Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?BUY0.179999976$5.25
10-27 02:28Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.2$1.25