0x8a924f07a55a5770fb3f23105ce7e6c3a737b273
- Realised P&L
- $-218.83
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $4.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.67at 0.480Ravens vs. Bills
- +$9.61at 0.510Vikings vs. Bears
- +$9.33at 0.360Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
- +$7.50at 0.40049ers vs. Rams
- +$6.63at 0.430Raiders vs. Patriots
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 02:03 | NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens | BUY | 0.6699996633 | $1.97 |
| 04-18 18:37 | Raptors vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $4.73 |
| 01-30 19:12 | Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 01-10 14:56 | Packers vs. Bears | BUY | 0.55 | $4.85 |
| 12-31 23:01 | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada in 2025? | BUY | 0.0073787343 | $4.98 |
| 12-16 04:00 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX? | BUY | 0.1299999898 | $9.97 |
| 12-07 19:03 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $9.97 |
| 11-05 02:15 | Another Canada election called in 2025? | BUY | 0.0843981501 | $1.99 |
| 11-01 15:37 | Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01? | BUY | 0.6899999958 | $9.97 |
| 10-27 03:27 | Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31? | BUY | 0.3599999643 | $5.25 |
| 10-27 03:27 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025? | BUY | 0.179999976 | $5.25 |
| 10-27 03:26 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025? | BUY | 0.179999976 | $5.25 |
| 10-27 03:25 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.25 |
| 10-27 03:23 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025? | BUY | 0.179999976 | $5.25 |
| 10-27 02:28 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.25 |