0x8a9245eb
0x8a9245eb0679238f1be4b99f09ae63b7c49d8586
- Realised P&L
- $14.0k
- Volume
- $169.4k
- Markets traded
- 2,268
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded2,268
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 7? · Yes | 0.162 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.021Will Apple (AAPL) close above $265 on May 6?
- +$760.23at 0.035Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?
- +$719.08at 0.034Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?
- +$629.09at 0.029Will Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?
- +$521.13at 0.050Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 12:58 | Will the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6? | SELL | 0.96 | $13.44 |
| 10-05 01:01 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.909 | $12.73 |
| 10-03 22:54 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 3? | SELL | 0.99 | $7.73 |
| 10-02 00:02 | Rainbow Six Siege: DarkZero Esports vs Five Fears (BO1) - North America League Stage 2 Group Stage | SELL | 0.9573571429 | $13.40 |
| 09-30 14:21 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5) | SELL | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-30 03:10 | Will it rain in Boston, MA on September 29? | SELL | 0.9 | $11.21 |
| 09-30 03:06 | Will it rain in Boston, MA on September 29? | SELL | 0.98 | $1.51 |
| 09-29 22:48 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 29? | SELL | 0.999 | $172.70 |
| 09-27 02:41 | Austin FC to score first vs. San Diego FC? | SELL | 0.984 | $4.92 |
| 09-25 22:05 | Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) | SELL | 0.951 | $13.31 |
| 09-24 05:26 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.91 | $9.10 |
| 09-23 01:34 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.924 | $7.36 |
| 09-22 20:46 | Juventus FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Juventus FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.99 | $36.90 |
| 09-22 20:46 | Juventus FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Score in First Half | SELL | 0.99 | $36.90 |
| 09-22 20:31 | Real Madrid CF Femenino vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.99 | $36.90 |